Gujarati
14.Probability
medium

‘$X$’ speaks truth in $60\%$ and ‘$Y$’ in $50\%$ of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other narrating the same incident is

A

$\frac{1}{4}$

B

$\frac{1}{3}$

C

$\frac{1}{2}$

D

$\frac{2}{3}$

Solution

(c) Here $P(X) = \frac{3}{5}$, $P(Y) = \frac{1}{2}$

$\therefore $ Required probability $= P\,(X) \cdot P(\bar Y) + P(\bar X)P(Y)$

$=\left( {\frac{3}{5}} \right)\,\left( {1 – \frac{1}{2}} \right) + \left( {1 – \frac{2}{5}} \right)\,\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)$

$=\frac{3}{5}\,.\,\frac{1}{2} + \frac{2}{5}.\frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.

Standard 11
Mathematics

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